Title
Asymptotic Behavior of the Likelihood Function of Covariance Matrices of Spatial Gaussian Processes
Abstract
The covariance structure of spatial Gaussian predictors (aka Kriging predictors) is generally modeled by parameterized covariance functions; the associated hyperparameters in turn are estimated via the method of maximum likelihood. In this work, the asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood of spatial Gaussian predictor models as a function of its hyperparameters is investigated theoretically. Asymptotic sandwich bounds for the maximum likelihood function in terms of the condition number of the associated covariance matrix are established. As a consequence, the main result is obtained: optimally trained nondegenerate spatial Gaussian processes cannot feature arbitrary ill-conditioned correlation matrices. The implication of this theorem on Kriging hyperparameter optimization is exposed. A nonartificial example is presented, where maximum likelihood-based Kriging model training is necessarily bound to fail.
Year
DOI
Venue
2010
10.1155/2010/494070
JOURNAL OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS
Keywords
Field
DocType
covariance matrix,gaussian process,condition number,maximum likelihood,covariance function,likelihood function
Mathematical optimization,Covariance function,Likelihood function,Estimation of covariance matrices,Rational quadratic covariance function,Gaussian process,Restricted maximum likelihood,Matérn covariance function,Mathematics,Covariance
Journal
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
2010
1110-757X
3
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.48
1
1
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Ralf Zimmermann1112.45