Title
A model for revocation forecasting in public-key infrastructures.
Abstract
One of the hardest tasks of a certification infrastructure is to manage revocation. This process consists in collecting and making the revocation status of certificates available to users. Research on this topic has focused on the trade-offs that different revocation mechanisms offer. Much less effort has been conducted to understand and model real-world revocation processes. For this reason, in this paper, we present a novel analysis of real-world collected revocation data and we propose a revocation prediction model. The model uses an autoregressive integrated moving average model. Our prediction model enables certification authorities to forecast the number of revoked certificates in short term.
Year
DOI
Venue
2015
10.1007/s10115-014-0735-1
Knowl. Inf. Syst.
Keywords
Field
DocType
privacy,pki,mechanism,arima,crl,certification,certificate revocation
Public key infrastructure,Data mining,Revocation list,X.509,Computer science,Computer security,Revocation,Autoregressive integrated moving average,Certification,Public-key cryptography
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
43
2
0219-3116
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
1
0.35
23
Authors
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Carlos Gañán1708.86
Jorge Mata-Díaz210113.33
Jose L. Muñoz328725.68
Oscar Esparza428426.58
Juanjo Alins57810.45