Title
Spatiotemporal Pattern Recognition and Nonlinear PCA for Global Horizontal Irradiance Forecasting
Abstract
This letter presents a novel technique for the forecast of the ground horizontal irradiance (GHI) from satellite-based images. To enhance the forecast accuracy, spatial information in addition to temporal information has been considered. This produced an increase in the computational load of the forecast process. Dimensionality reduction techniques based on nonlinear principal component analysis (PCA) are used to project the original data set into low-dimension feature space. A multilayer feedforward neural network classifier is used to model the signal through a training operation involving past history of the considered spatiotemporal signal. Experiments have been carried out on two different data sets. Comparisons with classical forecasting techniques demonstrate that the introduction of the spatial information permits to obtain better short-term forecast measurements for all types of sky conditions. Moreover, further analysis demonstrates that, compared with linear PCA, the nonlinear PCA is more appropriate for dimensionality reduction of spatiotemporal GHI data set.
Year
DOI
Venue
2015
10.1109/LGRS.2014.2335817
Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters, IEEE  
Keywords
Field
DocType
atmospheric radiation,atmospheric techniques,weather forecasting,global horizontal irradiance forecasting,classical forecasting techniques,forecast process,ground horizontal irradiance,multilayer feedforward neural network classifier,nonlinear pca,principal component analysis,satellite-based images,short-term forecast measurements,spatial information,spatiotemporal ghi data set,spatiotemporal pattern recognition,spatiotemporal signal,neural networks (nns),nonlinear principal components analysis (nlpca),solar irradiation forecast
Computer vision,Nonlinear system,Remote sensing,Irradiance,Artificial intelligence,Mathematics,Spatiotemporal pattern
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
12
2
1545-598X
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
2
0.43
6
Authors
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Giorgio A. Licciardi1404.82
Dambreville, R.220.43
Jocelyn Chanussot34145272.11
Stéphanie Dubost420.43