Title
Forecasted risk taking in youth: evidence for a bounded-rationality perspective.
Abstract
This research examined whether youth’s forecasted risk taking is best predicted by a compensatory (namely, subjective expected utility) or non-compensatory (e.g., single-factor) model. Ninety youth assessed the importance of perceived benefits, importance of perceived drawbacks, subjective probability of benefits, and subjective probability of drawbacks for 16 risky behaviors clustered evenly into recreational and health/safety domains. In both domains, there was strong support for a non-compensatory model in which only the perceived importance of the benefits of engaging in a risky behavior predicted youths’ forecasted engagement in risky behavior. The study overcomes earlier methodological weaknesses by fully decomposing participants’ assessments into importance and probability aspects for both benefits and drawbacks. As such, the 6findings provide clear evidence in support of a bounded-rationality perspective on youth decision making regarding risk taking.
Year
DOI
Venue
2012
10.1007/s11229-012-0110-2
Synthese
Keywords
Field
DocType
Risk perception,Risk taking,Subjective expected utility,Bounded rationality,Youth
Actuarial science,Subjective expected utility,Recreation,Risk perception,Bounded rationality,Risk taking,Mathematics
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
189
Supplement-1
0039-7857
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
0
0.34
1
Authors
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Mandeep K. Dhami131.83
David R. Mandel211.40