Title
A Bayesian decision model based on expected utility and uncertainty risk.
Abstract
Risk is caused by the uncertainty of state of nature and a decision maker’s selection, and the result may appear to be an unfavorable outcome. Therefore, a decision maker wants to maximize an expected return with minimal risk exposures. In this paper, we propose an expected utility and uncertainty risk (EU–UR) model based on the reference prior, which extends the classical decision model under uncertainty. The EU–UR model is made by making a compromise between measures of expected utility and uncertainty. The model is empirically validated by applying to the Levy’s case and the Allais paradox.
Year
DOI
Venue
2014
10.1016/j.amc.2014.06.005
Applied Mathematics and Computation
Keywords
Field
DocType
Decision analysis,Expected utility,Uncertainty,Prior distribution
Decision analysis,Optimal decision,Actuarial science,Expected utility hypothesis,Subjective expected utility,Sensitivity analysis,Expected value of including uncertainty,Two-moment decision model,Expected value of perfect information,Mathematics
Journal
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
242
0096-3003
2
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.39
6
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Changsoon Park120.39
Sun-Eung Ahn2111.36
Sangwon Lee31227.90