Name
Title | ||
|---|---|---|
A Comparative Analysis Of Neural Network Based Short Term Load Forecast Models For Anomalous Days Load Prediction |
Abstract | ||
|---|---|---|
Load forecasting plays a very vital role for efficient and reliable operation of the power system. Often uncertainties significantly decrease the prediction accuracy of load forecasting which affect the operational cost dramatically. In this paper, comparison of Back Propagation (BP) and Levenberg Marquardt (LM) neural network (NN) forecast model for 24 hours ahead is presented. The impact of lagged load data, calendar events and weather variables on load demand are analyzed in order to select the best forecast model inputs. The mean absolute percentage errors (MAPE), Daily peak error and regression analysis of NN training are used to measure the NN performance. The Forecast results demonstrate that, LM based forecast model outperform than BP NN model for performance matrices. This model is used to predict the load of ISO-New England grid. |
Year | DOI | Venue |
|---|---|---|
2014 | 10.4304/jcp.9.7.1519-1524 | JOURNAL OF COMPUTERS |
Keywords | Field | DocType |
Short Term Load Forecasting (STLF), Neural Network (NN), Back Propagation (BP), LevenbergMarquardt (LM), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Regression Analysis (RA) | Mean absolute percentage error,Computer science,Regression analysis,Electric power system,Operational costs,Artificial intelligence,Backpropagation,Artificial neural network,Grid,Machine learning,Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm | Journal |
Volume | Issue | ISSN |
9 | 7 | 1796-203X |
Citations | PageRank | References |
0 | 0.34 | 2 |
Authors | ||
4 | ||
Name | Order | Citations | PageRank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Qamar Raza | 1 | 4 | 1.42 |
| Zuhairi Baharudin | 2 | 4 | 2.47 |
| Badar-Ul-Islam Badar-Ul-Islam | 3 | 2 | 0.77 |
| Perumal Nallagownden | 4 | 6 | 3.22 |