Title
A particle filtering and kernel smoothing-based approach for new design component prognostics.
Abstract
This work addresses the problem of predicting the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of components for which a mathematical model describing the component degradation is available, but the values of the model parameters are not known and the observations of degradation trajectories in similar components are unavailable. The proposed approach solves this problem by using a Particle Filtering (PF) technique combined with a kernel smoothing (KS) method. This PF–KS method can simultaneously estimate the degradation state and the unknown parameters in the degradation model, while significantly overcoming the problem of particle impoverishment. Based on the updated degradation model (where the unknown parameters are replaced by the estimated ones), the RUL prediction is then performed by simulating future particles evolutions. A numerical application regarding prognostics for Lithium-ion batteries is considered. Various performance indicators measuring precision, accuracy, steadiness and risk of the obtained RUL predictions are computed. The obtained results show that the proposed PF–KS method can provide more satisfactory results than the traditional PF methods.
Year
DOI
Venue
2015
10.1016/j.ress.2014.10.003
Reliability Engineering & System Safety
Keywords
DocType
Volume
Prognostics,Remaining useful life,Parameter estimation,Particle filtering,Kernel smoothing,Battery
Journal
134
ISSN
Citations 
PageRank 
0951-8320
2
0.40
References 
Authors
0
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Yang Hu171.92
Piero Baraldi223621.96
Francesco Di Maio312414.20
Enrico Zio474257.86