Paper Info
Title
A discrete-event simulation model to estimate the number of participants in the ciclovia program of Bogota
Abstract
Open-Street Programs, also known as Ciclovia, are free multi-sectorial programs for people from different socio-economic backgrounds where public spaces and streets are closed to motorized traffic and open for leisure activities. Over the past three years the expansion rate of such programs worldwide has dramatically increased due to their general benefits to public health and their resource-efficient implementation. Performance indicators of Ciclovia programs allow analyzing the programs' impact on public health. The number of participants is one of the key performance indicators, and thus its reliable estimation is crucial to measuring the cost-effectiveness of the programs for the cities and municipalities. Furthermore, a unified and flexible estimation methodology allows comparisons between programs. In this paper, we propose a discrete-event simulation model to estimate the number of participants in such programs. We apply our approach to a case study in the city of Bogota (Colombia), with the largest program in the world, where we estimate an average of 675,000 participants per day. We also perform a sensitivity analysis on the arrival rate and study its impact on the estimation.
Year
DOI
Venue
2014
10.1109/WSC.2014.7020127
Winter Simulation Conference
Keywords
Field
DocType
social sciences,discrete event simulation,key performance indicators,health and safety,public health,open-street programs,free multisectorial programs,ciclovia program,discrete-event simulation model,bogota,socio-economic effects,socio-economic backgrounds,colombia,sensitivity analysis
Public health,Performance indicator,Computer science,Simulation,Discrete event simulation
Conference
ISSN
ISBN
Citations 
0891-7736
978-1-4799-7484-9
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
0
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Melisa Murcia100.34
María J. Rivera200.34
Raha Akhavan-Tabatabaei36611.78
Olga L. Sarmiento400.34