Title
Forecasting Service Profitability
Abstract
This paper describes ways to connect ledger cost behavior of a service delivery project with cost estimations derived at the time of contractual agreement. The purpose of this connection is to improve the management of the service life cycle, providing long range forecasting of the profitability of various service offerings. We emphasize cost, but our methods apply also to revenue, and consequently to profit. In a perfect financial world the connection between the cost estimate and the actual costs would be maintained in a tight feedback loop. The complex real world of multi-year and multi-country service delivery projects requires accommodation of (1) historical changes in accounting practices and (2) missing data. We describe the content of a cost case, the content of the ledger, and methods for forecasting profitability of parts of delivery projects using both the cost case and historical ledger experience of other similar projects. This paper reports a work in progress. We limit discussion of accuracy measurements to one benchmark, and we discuss potential improvements we have not yet implemented.
Year
DOI
Venue
2014
10.1109/SCC.2014.56
IEEE SCC
Keywords
Field
DocType
service delivery, service life cycle, cost estimation, cost forecasting,cost estimation,service delivery
Revenue,Cost engineering,Computer science,Work in process,Ledger,Operations research,Cost estimate,Profitability index,Management,Service level requirement,Service delivery framework
Conference
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
4
0.46
6
Authors
10
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Jeanette L. Blomberg16928.32
Neil Boyette240.46
Anca Chandra3252.99
Sechan Oh4183.63
ruoyi zhou582.06
Ray Strong6492187.32
Wayne Jones740.46
Oliver Gehb840.46
Alexander Vogt940.79
Gerhardt Satzger1040.79