Title
A Scenario Method to Automatically Assess ICT Risk
Abstract
We present an assessment of ICT systems that merges a scenario approach and a Monte Carlo method. To automate the assessment, we have developed two tools. The first one builds a formal description of the vulnerabilities in the target system and of the attacks they enable. Starting from this description, the second tool consider each scenario of interest and it simulate several times how intelligent and adaptive threat agents compose these attacks to reach some goals. By collecting samples in these simulations, this tool returns a database to compute statistics of interest for the assessment, such as the success probability of the agents or their average impacts. After outlining the design of the tools, we discuss a test case to show how they are exploited in a real assessment to manage the corresponding risk.
Year
DOI
Venue
2014
10.1109/PDP.2014.105
Parallel, Distributed and Network-Based Processing
Keywords
Field
DocType
Monte Carlo methods,multi-agent systems,security of data,ICT systems assessment,Monte Carlo method,adaptive threat agent,formal description,intelligent agent,target system vulnerabilities,Monte Carlo method,intelligent threat agent,risk assessment,vulnerability assessment,vulnerability scanning
Monte Carlo method,Software engineering,Computer science,Computer security,Vulnerability assessment,Risk assessment,Multi-agent system,Formal description,Information and Communications Technology,Vulnerability scanning,Distributed computing,Vulnerability
Conference
ISSN
Citations 
PageRank 
1066-6192
6
0.44
References 
Authors
13
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Fabrizio Baiardi1827.91
Fabio Cor貌260.44
Federico Tonelli380.82
Daniele Sgandurra461.80