Title
Identifying the most likely outcomes of multilateral negotiations
Abstract
New definitions and methodology are proposed in this paper to predict the most likely outcomes of multilateral negotiations. The negotiation problems modeled and analyzed here are distinctive because the set of possible agreements is discrete and specified in advance. Each decision maker has two concerns: first, achieving an alternative that is as preferable as possible; second, building support among the other decision makers for this alternative. The general objective of this research is to study movements from one state to another in multilateral negotiations, to predict stable agreements, and to study their properties. In addition, we propose some procedures that measure the relative likelihood of moves from an unstable state to stable agreements. An example is used to clarify how this methodology can be applied to predict outcomes of negotiations.
Year
DOI
Venue
2008
10.1109/ICSMC.2008.4811674
Singapore
Keywords
Field
DocType
decision making,decision theory,set theory,decision maker,most likely outcome identification,multilateral negotiation,possible agreement sets,relative likelihood measurement
Set theory,Computer science,Delta modulation,Decision theory,Probability density function,Management science,Decision maker,Cybernetics,Negotiation
Conference
ISSN
ISBN
Citations 
1062-922X E-ISBN : 978-1-4244-2384-2
978-1-4244-2384-2
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
0
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Majid Sheikhmohammady100.34
Keith W. Hipel213321.57
D. Marc Kilgour3599.74