Title
When Bias Matters: An Economic Assessment of Demand Response Baselines for Residential Customers
Abstract
Demand response (DR) has been known to play an important role in the electricity sector to balance supply and demand. To this end, the DR baseline is a key factor in a successful DR program since it influences the incentive allocation mechanism and customer participation. Previous studies have investigated baseline accuracy and bias for large, industrial and commercial customers. However, the analysis of baseline performance for residential customers has received less attention. In this paper, we analyze DR baselines for residential customers. Our analysis goes beyond accuracy and bias by understanding the impact of baselines on all stakeholders' profit. Using our customer models, we successfully show how customer participation changes depending on the incentive actually received. We found that, in general, bias is more relevant than accuracy for determining which baseline provides the highest profit to stakeholders. Consequently, this result provides a valuable insight into designing effective DR incentive schemes.
Year
DOI
Venue
2014
10.1109/TSG.2014.2309053
Smart Grid, IEEE Transactions
Keywords
Field
DocType
demand side management,incentive schemes,power system economics,profitability,supply and demand,DR program,balance supply and demand,baseline accuracy,baseline bias,baseline performance analysis,customer models,demand response baselines,economic assessment,effective DR incentive schemes,electricity sector,incentive allocation mechanism,influences bias matters,residential customers,stakeholder profit,Demand response (DR) baseline,demand-side management,net benefit analysis,residential demand response,smart grid
Load management,Economic assessment,Economics,Incentive,Smart grid,Electricity,Microeconomics,Baseline (configuration management),Demand response,Control engineering,Supply and demand,Environmental economics
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
5
4
1949-3053
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
16
1.15
13
Authors
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Tri Kurniawan Wijaya114014.20
Matteo Vasirani229328.75
Karl Aberer36459662.26