Title
Model-Based Robust Prediction of Cumulative Participant Curve in Large-Scale Events
Abstract
In this paper, we propose a robust piecewise parametric model for predicting the cumulative number of participants in large-scale events. Based on the analysis of arriving patterns in such events, we establish parametric models for different periods and design an efficient fitting strategy to achieve model parameters from incomplete current data. Moreover, based on historical data, we can train parameters by neural network and get relation prior among parameters and data. With the help of relation prior, we can update the parameters of current data and achieve robust prediction for outlier. Simulation results on the database of Expo 2010 Shanghai show the good performance of our proposed method even in abnormal situations.
Year
DOI
Venue
2012
10.1007/978-3-642-34595-1_53
ADVANCES ON DIGITAL TELEVISION AND WIRELESS MULTIMEDIA COMMUNICATIONS
Keywords
Field
DocType
large-scale event,robust prediction,piecewise parametric model,relation prior
Data mining,Parametric model,Pattern recognition,Computer science,Outlier,Artificial intelligence,Artificial neural network,Piecewise
Conference
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
331
1865-0929
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
5
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Dixin Luo1376.98
Rong Xie25934.58
Jia Wang37917.75
Wenjun Zhang41789177.28