Title
Energy Flux Range Classification by Using a Dynamic Window Autoregressive Model
Abstract
This paper tackles marine energy prediction from the classification point of view, by previously discretising the real objective variable into a set of consecutive categories or ranges. Given that the range of energy flux is enough to obtain an approximation of the amount of energy produced, the purpose of this discretisation is to simplify the prediction task. A special kind of autoregressive models are considered, where the category to be predicted depends on both the previous values of energy flux and a set of meteorological variables estimated by numerical models. Apart from this, this paper introduces two different ways of adjusting the order of the autoregressive models, one based on nested cross-validation and the other one based on a dynamic window. The results show that these kind of models are able to predict the time series in an acceptable way, and that the dynamic window procedure leads to the best accuracy without needing the additional computational cost of adjusting the order of the model.
Year
DOI
Venue
2015
10.1007/978-3-319-19222-2_8
ADVANCES IN COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE, PT II
Keywords
Field
DocType
Wave energy prediction,Multi-class classification,Flux of energy,Autoregressive models
Discretization,Autoregressive model,Numerical models,Pattern recognition,Computer science,Algorithm,Marine energy,Artificial intelligence,Energy flux,STAR model,Multiclass classification
Conference
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
9095
0302-9743
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
5
7