Title
A personalized load forecasting enhanced by activity information
Abstract
In this paper, we propose an activity-enhanced load forecasting model at house-level. We focus on the impact of residents' daily activities on entire household's power consumption. The contribution of this paper is 3-fold: 1) a web-based system for collecting daily activity information in diary-style; 2) a correlation analysis between activities and power consumption and their information-theoretic relationship; 3) a personalized load forecasting study using different prediction algorithms and an activity recognition procedure as an enhancement. Both correlation and forecasting results show consistently that our collected activity information can contribute to estimate and predict the power consumption of individual households to varying degrees, in particular for 15 minutes ahead load forecasting. An extended forecasting model with an online activity recognition component can further reduce the forecasting error.
Year
DOI
Venue
2015
10.1109/ISC2.2015.7366172
2015 IEEE First International Smart Cities Conference (ISC2)
Keywords
Field
DocType
personalized load forecasting,activity information,activity-enhanced load forecasting model,power consumption,information-theoretic relationship,activity recognition procedure,online activity recognition component
Data mining,Random variable,Activity recognition,Function approximation,Computer science,Load forecasting,Correlation,Artificial intelligence,Probabilistic forecasting,Mutual information,Machine learning,Power consumption
Conference
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
1
0.37
5
Authors
6
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Yong Ding1367.29
Martin Alexander Neumann2175.41
erwin stamm310.37
M. Beigl42034311.09
Sozo Inoue517658.17
xincheng pan610.37