Title
Non-linear Causal Inference using Gaussianity Measures
Abstract
We provide theoretical and empirical evidence for a type of asymmetry between causes and effects that is present when these are related via linear models contaminated with additive non-Gaussian noise. Assuming that the causes and the effects have the same distribution, we show that the distribution of the residuals of a linear fit in the anti-causal direction is closer to a Gaussian than the distribution of the residuals in the causal direction. This Gaussianization effect is characterized by reduction of the magnitude of the high-order cumulants and by an increment of the differential entropy of the residuals. The problem of non-linear causal inference is addressed by performing an embedding in an expanded feature space, in which the relation between causes and effects can be assumed to be linear. The effectiveness of a method to discriminate between causes and effects based on this type of asymmetry is illustrated in a variety of experiments using different measures of Gaussianity. The proposed method is shown to be competitive with state-of-the-art techniques for causal inference.
Year
Venue
Keywords
2016
JOURNAL OF MACHINE LEARNING RESEARCH
causal inference,Gaussianity of the residuals,cause-effect pairs
Field
DocType
Volume
Causal inference,Feature vector,Nonlinear system,Linear model,Cumulant,Gaussian,Differential entropy,Artificial intelligence,Machine learning,Mathematics,Linear regression
Journal
17
ISSN
Citations 
PageRank 
1532-4435
0
0.34
References 
Authors
0
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Daniel Hernández-Lobato144026.10
Pablo Morales-Mombiela231.17
David Lopez-Paz325619.06
Alberto Suárez4676.28