Title
Full Bayesian inference with hazard mixture models
Abstract
Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures based on Markov chain Monte Carlo marginal methods typically yield point estimates in the form of posterior expectations. Though very useful and easy to implement in a variety of statistical problems, these methods may suffer from some limitations if used to estimate non-linear functionals of the posterior distribution. The main goal is to develop a novel methodology that extends a well-established marginal procedure designed for hazard mixture models, in order to draw approximate inference on survival functions that is not limited to the posterior mean but includes, as remarkable examples, credible intervals and median survival time. The proposed approach relies on a characterization of the posterior moments that, in turn, is used to approximate the posterior distribution by means of a technique based on Jacobi polynomials. The inferential performance of this methodology is analyzed by means of an extensive study of simulated data and real data consisting of leukemia remission times. Although tailored to the survival analysis context, the proposed procedure can be adapted to a range of other models for which moments of the posterior distribution can be estimated.
Year
DOI
Venue
2016
10.1016/j.csda.2014.12.003
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
Keywords
Field
DocType
survival analysis
Econometrics,Mathematical optimization,Bayesian inference,Markov chain Monte Carlo,Bayesian linear regression,Posterior probability,Approximate inference,Bayesian hierarchical modeling,Maximum a posteriori estimation,Statistics,Mathematics,Mixture model
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
93
C
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 93 (2016) 359-372
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
1
0.36
1
Authors
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Julyan Arbel133.12
Antonio Lijoi2305.70
Bernardo Nipoti381.77