Title
On the brink: Predicting business failure with mobile location-based checkins.
Abstract
Mobile-enabled location-based services are generating a huge amount of customer checkin data every day. It is vital to understand how small businesses, like restaurants, use this real-time data to make better-informed business operation decisions in this mobile marketing era. Using data collected from Foursquare, a leading location-based service provider, and Yelp, we aim to find out the predictive power of customer checkins on business failure of restaurants in New York City by using several predictive modeling techniques, such as Neural Network, Logit model and K-nearest neighbor. Our findings are encouraging. The customer checkin data from both a focal restaurant and its neighbors have shown strong predictive power on business failure. Compared to the baseline model in which we only use business characteristic variables to predict failure, incorporating the checkin data captured from location-based services gives a remarkable improvement on predictive accuracy. Our findings provide the foundation for future studies on the predictive power of information obtained from location-based services on business operations.
Year
DOI
Venue
2015
10.1016/j.dss.2015.04.010
Decision Support Systems
Keywords
Field
DocType
Location-based services,Predictive modeling,Logit model,Neural network,K-nearest neighbor
Data mining,Predictive power,Advertising,Business operations,Computer science,Location-based service,Economic indicator,Service provider,Business failure,Mobile marketing,Marketing,Competitor analysis
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
76
C
0167-9236
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
2
0.37
11
Authors
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Lei Wang120.37
Ram Gopal242929.01
Ramesh Shankar341.07
Joseph Pancras492.11