Title
A game theoretic model of economic crises.
Abstract
Global financial crises have revealed the systemic risk posed by economic contagion as the increasing interconnectedness of the global economy has allowed adverse events to spread across countries more easily. These adverse economic events can be attributed to contagion through either credit or trade channels, or to common macroeconomic conditions that cause adverse events in multiple countries even without contagion. We model this system as a game between five types of players: countries; central banks; banks; firms; and households. In this framework, we model strategic choices, conduct sensitivity analysis, and analyze the impacts of random shocks in two examples. Our results demonstrate that each of the three causes discussed above (contagion through credit channels, contagion through trade channels, or common macroeconomic conditions with no contagion) can lead to crises even if all agents in the model behave rationally.
Year
DOI
Venue
2015
10.1016/j.amc.2015.05.093
Applied Mathematics and Computation
Keywords
Field
DocType
default,capital,production,sensitivity analysis,shock,country,bank,game theory,financial risk,consumption
Financial risk,Systemic risk,Mathematical optimization,Actuarial science,Game theoretic,Monetary economics,Game theory,Interconnectedness,Mathematics
Journal
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
266
0096-3003
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
6
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
jonathan william welburn100.34
Kjell Hausken253746.28