Title
Statistical Regression Analysis of Threshold Excesses with Systematically Missing Covariates
Abstract
AbstractThis work presents a computationally efficient, semiparametric, and nonstationary framework forstatistical regression analysis of threshold excesses with systematically missing covariates basedon the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD). The involved regression analysis resolves theinfluence coming from systematically missing covariates by a nonstationary off-set term. Thenonstationarity and the involved ill-posedness of the inverse problem are approached by the FiniteElement time series analysis Methodology with Bounded Variation of model parameters (FEM-BV). Theresulting FEM-BV-GPD approach provides a well-posed problem formulation and goes beyond probabilistica priori assumptions of methods for analysis of extremes based on, e.g., nonstationary Bayesianmixture models and smoothing kernel methods. We compare the performance of the FEM-BV-GPD to thestate-of-the-art approach based on generalized additive models on a test case and on realhistorical precipitation data.
Year
DOI
Venue
2015
10.1137/140972184
Periodicals
Keywords
Field
DocType
regression,time series analysis,extreme value theory,generalized Pareto distribution,systematically missing information
Econometrics,Time series,Covariate,Regression analysis,Smoothing,Kernel method,Statistics,Generalized additive model,Mathematics,Mixture model,Bayesian probability
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
13
2
1540-3459
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
0
0.34
3
Authors
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Olga Kaiser100.34
Dimitri Igdalov200.68
Illia Horenko34410.89