Title
Electricity Demand Forecasting by Multi-Task Learning
Abstract
We explore the application of kernel-based multi-task learning techniques to forecast the demand of electricity measured on multiple lines of a distribution network. We show that recently developed output kernel learning techniques are particularly well suited to solve this problem, as they allow to flexibly model the complex seasonal effects that characterize electricity demand data, while learning and exploiting correlations between multiple demand profiles. We also demonstrate that kernels with a multiplicative structure yield superior predictive performance with respect to the widely adopted (generalized) additive models. This paper is based on residential and industrial smart meter data provided by the Irish Commission for Energy Regulation.
Year
DOI
Venue
2015
10.1109/TSG.2016.2555788
IEEE Transactions Smart Grid
Keywords
DocType
Volume
Electricity Demand Forecasting,Multi-Task Learning,Output Kernel Learning
Journal
abs/1512.08178
Issue
ISSN
Citations 
99
1949-3053
7
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.52
16
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Jean-Baptiste Fiot1101.98
Francesco Dinuzzo226116.03