Title
On binomial observations of continuous-time Markovian population models
Abstract
In this paper we consider a class of stochastic processes based on binomial observations of continuous-time, Markovian population models. We derive the conditional probability mass function of the next binomial observation given a set of binomial observations. For this purpose, we first find the conditional probability mass function of the underlying continuous-time Markovian population model, given a set of binomial observations, by exploiting a conditional Bayes' theorem from filtering, and then use the law of total probability to find the former. This result paves the way for further study of the stochastic process introduced by the binomial observations. We utilize our results to show that binomial observations of the simple birth process are non-Markovian.
Year
Venue
Keywords
2015
JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY
Continuous-time Markovian population model,binomial observation,simple birth process,filtering
Field
DocType
Volume
Binomial distribution,Markov process,Binomial,Negative binomial distribution,Statistics,Population model,Mathematics
Journal
52
Issue
ISSN
Citations 
2
0021-9002
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
1
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
nigel g bean14710.77
Robert J. Elliott233350.13
Ali Eshragh3153.12
Joshua V. Ross421.79