Title
Tree-structured nonlinear signal modeling and prediction
Abstract
We develop a regression tree approach to identification and prediction of signals that evolve according to an unknown nonlinear state space model. In this approach, a tree is recursively constructed that partitions the p-dimensional state space into a collection of piecewise homogeneous regions utilizing a 2p-ary splitting rule with an entropy-based node impurity criterion. On this partition, the joint density of the state is approximately piecewise constant, leading to a nonlinear predictor that nearly attains minimum mean square error. This process decomposition is closely related to a generalized version of the thresholded AR signal model (ART), which we call piecewise constant AR (PCAR). We illustrate the method for two cases where classical linear prediction is ineffective: a chaotic “double-scroll” signal measured at the output of a Chua-type electronic circuit and a second-order ART model. We show that the prediction errors are comparable with the nearest neighbor approach to nonlinear prediction but with greatly reduced complexity
Year
DOI
Venue
1999
10.1109/78.796437
IEEE Trans. Signal Processing
Keywords
Field
DocType
Predictive models,Signal processing,State-space methods,Subspace constraints,Regression tree analysis,Impurities,Mean square error methods,Chaos,Electronic circuits,Nearest neighbor searches
k-nearest neighbors algorithm,Singular value decomposition,Mathematical optimization,Nonlinear system,Minimum mean square error,Mean squared error,Linear prediction,State space,Mathematics,Piecewise
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
47
11
1053-587X
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
15
0.82
13
Authors
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Olivier J. j. Michel123223.78
A.O. Hero, III259053.94
Anne-Emmanuelle Badel3150.82