Title
Risk-based optimization of land reclamation
Abstract
Large-scale land reclamations are generally constructed by means of a landfill well above mean sea level. This can be costly in areas where good quality fill material is scarce. An alternative to save materials and costs is a ‘polder terminal’. The quay wall acts as a flood defense and the terminal level is well below the level of the quay wall. Compared with a conventional terminal, the costs are lower, but an additional flood risk is introduced. In this paper, a risk-based optimization is developed for a conventional and a polder terminal. It considers the investment and residual flood risk. The method takes into account both the quay wall and terminal level, which determine the probability and damage of flooding. The optimal quay wall level is found by solving a Lambert function numerically. The terminal level is bounded by engineering boundary conditions, i.e. piping and uplift of the cover layer of the terminal yard. It is found that, for a representative case study, the saving of reclamation costs for a polder terminal is larger than the increase of flood risk. The model is applicable to other cases of land reclamation and to similar optimization problems in flood risk management.
Year
DOI
Venue
2015
10.1016/j.ress.2015.07.025
Reliability Engineering & System Safety
Keywords
Field
DocType
Polder terminal,Land reclamation,Flood risk,Probabilistic design,Economic optimization,Quay wall design
Probabilistic design,Residual,Piping,Land reclamation,Risk management,Engineering,Civil engineering,Flooding (psychology),Optimization problem,Reliability engineering,Flood myth,Environmental engineering
Journal
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
144
0951-8320
1
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.52
2
4