Title
A framework for integrated assessment of food production economics in South Asia under climate change
Abstract
Agriculture is a sector vulnerable to climate change. The potential decline of crop yields from this vulnerability has important policy implications for food security in South Asia. In this study an integrated assessment modelling framework is proposed to link a global economic model with global climate models via an econometric model of crop productivity. It is then used to examine the impact of climate change on food security in individual South Asian countries by exploring the interaction between climate-induced productivity change and changes in food production and food prices. The results of our simulations suggest that unfavourable climate change can reduce food production significantly from the historical trend and create upward pressure on food prices. This, in turn, will have serious adverse impacts on food security in the South Asian region.
Year
DOI
Venue
2016
10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.10.024
Environmental Modelling & Software
Keywords
Field
DocType
Integrated assessment modelling,Climate change,South Asia,Food security,Computable general equilibrium
Food systems,Climate model,Food processing,Climate change,Computer science,Political economy of climate change,Food prices,Agriculture,Food security,Agricultural economics
Journal
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
75
1364-8152
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
14
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
yiyong cai110.71
Jayatilleke S Bandara200.68
David Newth37722.00