Title
The Predictive Power Of Ranking Systems In Association Football
Abstract
We provide an overview and comparison of predictive capabilities of several methods for ranking association football teams. The main benchmark used is the official FIFA ranking for national teams. The ranking points of teams are turned into predictions that are next evaluated based on their accuracy. This enables us to determine which ranking method is more accurate.The best performing algorithm is a version of the famous Elo rating system that originates from chess player ratings, but several other methods (and method versions) provide better predictive performance than the official ranking method. Being able to predict match outcomes better than the official method might have implications for, e.g., a team's strategy to schedule friendly games.
Year
DOI
Venue
2013
10.1504/IJAPR.2013.052339
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED PATTERN RECOGNITION
Keywords
Field
DocType
FIFA ranking, predictive capabilities, predictive power, rankings, ratings, team strength, football predictions
Data mining,Football,Predictive power,Ranking,Rating system,Artificial intelligence,Engineering,Machine learning
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
1
1
2049-887X
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
8
1.15
5
Authors
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Jan Lasek181.15
Zoltán Szlávik211621.40
Sandjai Bhulai313716.49