Title
Soft computing approaches for forecasting reference evapotranspiration
Abstract
The GP, SVM-FFA, ANN and SVM-Wavelet modeling of ET0 was reported.SVM-Wavelet had the smallest RMSE of 0.233mmday-1 in testing phase.The ANN model had the largest RMSE of 0.450mmday-1.SVM-Wavelet model was found to perform better than the GP, SVM-FFA and ANN models. Accurate estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ET0) is needed for planning and managing water resources and agricultural production. The FAO-56 Penman-Monteith equation is used to determinate ET0 based on the data collected during the period 1980-2010 in Serbia. In order to forecast ET0, four soft computing methods were analyzed: genetic programming (GP), support vector machine-firefly algorithm (SVM-FFA), artificial neural network (ANN), and support vector machine-wavelet (SVM-Wavelet). The reliability of these computational models was analyzed based on simulation results and using five statistical tests including Pearson correlation coefficient, coefficient of determination, root-mean-square error, absolute percentage error, and mean absolute error. The end-point result indicates that SVM-Wavelet is the best methodology for ET0 prediction, whereas SVM-Wavelet and SVM-FFA models have higher correlation coefficient as compared to ANN and GP computational methods.
Year
DOI
Venue
2015
10.1016/j.compag.2015.02.010
Computers and Electronics in Agriculture
Keywords
Field
DocType
Soft computing,Forecasting,Firefly algorithm,Support vector machine,Wavelet,Serbia
Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient,Mean squared error,Control engineering,Genetic programming,Artificial intelligence,Soft computing,Artificial neural network,Statistical hypothesis testing,Correlation coefficient,Coefficient of determination,Engineering,Statistics,Machine learning
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
113
C
0168-1699
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
11
1.05
16
Authors
7
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Milan Gocic1384.39
Shervin Motamedi2394.14
Shahaboddin Shamshirband351253.36
Dalibor Petkovic4111.05
Sudheer Ch5111.05
Roslan Hashim6383.76
Muhammad Arif726645.68