Title
Early dropout prediction using data mining: a case study with high school students
Abstract
AbstractEarly prediction of school dropout is a serious problem in education, but it is not an easy issue to resolve. On the one hand, there are many factors that can influence student retention. On the other hand, the traditional classification approach used to solve this problem normally has to be implemented at the end of the course to gather maximum information in order to achieve the highest accuracy. In this paper, we propose a methodology and a specific classification algorithm to discover comprehensible prediction models of student dropout as soon as possible. We used data gathered from 419 high schools students in Mexico. We carried out several experiments to predict dropout at different steps of the course, to select the best indicators of dropout and to compare our proposed algorithm versus some classical and imbalanced well-known classification algorithms. Results show that our algorithm was capable of predicting student dropout within the first 4-6weeks of the course and trustworthy enough to be used in an early warning system.
Year
DOI
Venue
2016
10.1111/exsy.12135
Periodicals
Keywords
Field
DocType
predicting dropout,classification,educational data mining,grammar-based genetic programming
Student dropout,Data mining,Learning analytics,Trustworthiness,Computer science,Artificial intelligence,Predictive modelling,Statistical classification,Early warning system,Educational data mining,Machine learning
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
33
1
0266-4720
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
16
0.67
28
Authors
6
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Carlos Márquez-Vera1653.58
Alberto Cano213011.20
Cristóbal Romero32226148.97
Amin Y. Noaman4374.66
Habib M. Fardoun514344.04
S. Ventura682534.87