Title
Particle filtering using agent-based transmission models.
Abstract
Dynamic models are used to describe the spatio-temporal evolution of complex systems. It is frequently difficult to construct a useful model, especially for emerging situations such as the 2003 SARS outbreak. Here we describe the application of a modern predictor-corrector method -- particle filtering -- that could enable relatively quick model construction and support on-the-fly correction as empirical data arrives. This technique has seen recent use with compartmental models. We contribute here what is, to the best of our knowledge, the first application of particle filtering to agent-based models. While our particle models adapt to different ground-truth conditions, agent-based models exhibit limited adaptability under some model initializations. Several explanations are advanced for such behavior. Since this research serves as an initial foray into this line of investigation, we draw out a clear path of the next steps to determine the possible benefits of using particle filters on agent-based models.
Year
DOI
Venue
2015
10.1109/WSC.2015.7408211
Winter Simulation Conference
Keywords
Field
DocType
disease,ground-truth conditions,model construction,predictor-corrector method,complex systems,spatiotemporal evolution,dynamic models,agent-based transmission models,particle filtering
Adaptability,Complex system,Computer science,Simulation,Particle filter,Kalman filter,Dynamic models
Conference
ISSN
ISBN
Citations 
0891-7736
978-1-4673-9741-4
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
2
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Kurt Kreuger131.58
Nathaniel D. Osgood2239.92