Title
Complexity analysis through the modeling of human behavior in a complex supply chain planning environment.
Abstract
The global supply chain is a complex network including multiple autonomous agents, and one representative of which is the supply chain planers, whose interactive activities bring in various uncertainty and complexity to the decision making. To better manage the dynamics, it is necessary to investigate the agents behaviors and their impacts on the supply chain. Our research starts with some hypotheses and then verifies them via an experiment. A prior questionnaire is distributed in order to analyze the correlation between human performance and risk literacy scale. Then a beer game is employed to demonstrate the ordering behaviors under different environmental settings. The bullwhip effect and the overreacting behaviors are observed and can be illustrated by the prospect theory. Finally an agent-based modeling approach is adopted to simulate the human behaviors, using the empirical threshold values derived from the example as the inputs to the model.
Year
DOI
Venue
2015
10.1109/WSC.2015.7408395
Winter Simulation Conference
Field
DocType
ISSN
Autonomous agent,Supply chain planning,Computer science,Simulation,Prospect theory,Bullwhip effect,Complex network,Human behavior,Supply chain
Conference
0891-7736
ISBN
Citations 
PageRank 
978-1-4673-9741-4
0
0.34
References 
Authors
4
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Can Sun100.34
Thomas Ponsignon2167.86
Thomas Rose300.34
Arunachalam Narayanan471.60