Title
Response-Guided Community Detection: Application to Climate Index Discovery
Abstract
Discovering climate indices---time series that summarize spatiotemporal climate patterns---is a key task in the climate science domain. In this work, we approach this task as a problem of response-guided community detection; that is, identifying communities in a graph associated with a response variable of interest. To this end, we propose a general strategy for response-guided community detection that explicitly incorporates information of the response variable during the community detection process, and introduce a graph representation of spatiotemporal data that leverages information from multiple variables. We apply our proposed methodology to the discovery of climate indices associated with seasonal rainfall variability. Our results suggest that our methodology is able to capture the underlying patterns known to be associated with the response variable of interest and to improve its predictability compared to existing methodologies for data-driven climate index discovery and official forecasts.
Year
DOI
Venue
2015
10.1007/978-3-319-23525-7_45
ECML/PKDD
Keywords
Field
DocType
Community detection,Spatiotemporal data,Climate index discovery,Seasonal rainfall prediction
Data mining,Graph,Predictability,Climate science,Computer science,Graph (abstract data type)
Conference
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
9285
0302-9743
2
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.39
8
7