Title
Blind Source Separation for Improved Load Forecasting on Individual Household Level.
Abstract
This paper presents the improved method for 24 h ahead load forecasting applied to individual household data from a smart metering system. In this approach we decompose a set of individual forecasts into basis latent components with destructive or constructive impact on the prediction. The main research problem in such model aggregation is the proper identification of destructive components that can be treated as some noise factors. To assess the randomness of signals and thus their similarity to the noise, we used a new variability measure that helps to compare decomposed signals with some typical noise models. The experiments performed on individual household electricity consumption data with blind separation algorithms contributed to forecasts improvements.
Year
DOI
Venue
2015
10.1007/978-3-319-26227-7_17
PROCEEDINGS OF THE 9TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTER RECOGNITION SYSTEMS, CORES 2015
Field
DocType
Volume
Constructive,Computer science,Load forecasting,Independent component analysis,Mains electricity,Artificial intelligence,Model aggregation,Blind signal separation,Metering mode,Machine learning,Randomness
Conference
403
ISSN
Citations 
PageRank 
2194-5357
0
0.34
References 
Authors
2
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Krzysztof Gajowniczek1196.14
Tomasz Zabkowski23211.28
Ryszard Szupiluk3388.97