Title
Learning from the News: Predicting Entity Popularity on Twitter.
Abstract
In this work, we tackle the problem of predicting entity popularity on Twitter based on the news cycle. We apply a supervised learning approach and extract four types of features: (i) signal, (ii) textual, (iii) sentiment and (iv) semantic, which we use to predict whether the popularity of a given entity will be high or low in the following hours. We run several experiments on six different entities in a dataset of over 150M tweets and 5M news and obtained F1 scores over 0.70. Error analysis indicates that news perform better on predicting entity popularity on Twitter when they are the primary information source of the event, in opposition to events such as live TV broadcasts, political debates or football matches.
Year
DOI
Venue
2016
10.1007/978-3-319-46349-0_15
ADVANCES IN INTELLIGENT DATA ANALYSIS XV
Keywords
DocType
Volume
Prediction,News,Social media,Online reputation monitoring
Conference
9897
ISSN
Citations 
PageRank 
0302-9743
0
0.34
References 
Authors
0
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Pedro Saleiro1195.63
Carlos Soares29518.18