Title
Unveiling the breakthrough potential of established technologies: an empirical investigation in the aerospace industry.
Abstract
The present article sheds new light on the role of established technologies as a driving force behind technological evolution, hence unveiling their breakthrough potential. Specifically, going against the conventional wisdom that only nascent technologies significantly shape future technological developments, we examine the likelihood that established technologies have to become breakthrough solutions. Furthermore, we also analyse if and how the breadth of knowledge base characterising those inventions influences this probability. Based on a sample of 21,000 patents belonging to the aerospace industry granted at the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO), our results reveal that established technologies have an inverted U-shaped effect on the likelihood of becoming breakthroughs, and that such relationship is negatively influenced by a wide knowledge breadth.
Year
DOI
Venue
2016
10.1080/09537325.2016.1180356
TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS & STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT
Keywords
Field
DocType
Established technologies,breakthrough technologies,knowledge breadth,technological evolution,aerospace
Aerospace,Economics,Technological evolution,Knowledge management,Trademark,Conventional wisdom,Knowledge base
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
28.0
8
0953-7325
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
3
0.64
8
Authors
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Lorenzo Ardito140.99
Antonio Messeni Petruzzelli28011.87
Umberto Panniello318012.05