Title
A Bayesian framework for early risk prediction in traumatic brain injury.
Abstract
Early detection of risk is critical in determining the course of treatment in traumatic brain injury (TBI). Computed tomography (CT) acquired at admission has shown latent prognostic value in prior studies; however, no robust clinical risk predictions have been achieved based on the imaging data in large-scale TBI analysis. The major challenge lies in the lack of consistent and complete medical records for patients, and an inherent bias associated with the limited number of patients samples with high-risk outcomes in available TBI datasets. Herein, we propose a Bayesian framework with mutual information-based forward feature selection to handle this type of data. Using multi-atlas segmentation, 154 image-based features (capturing intensity, volume and texture) were computed over 22 ROIs in 1791 CT scans. These features were combined with 14 clinical parameters and converted into risk likelihood scores using Bayes modeling. We explore the prediction power of the image features versus the clinical measures for various risk outcomes. The imaging data alone were more predictive of outcomes than the clinical data (including Marshall CT classification) for discharge disposition with an area under the curve of 0.81 vs. 0.67, but less predictive than clinical data for discharge Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score with an area under the curve of 0.65 vs. 0.85. However, in both cases, combining imaging and clinical data increased the combined area under the curve with 0.86 for discharge disposition and 0.88 for discharge GCS score. In conclusion, CT data have meaningful prognostic value for TBI patients beyond what is captured in clinical measures and the Marshall CT classification.
Year
DOI
Venue
2016
10.1117/12.2217306
Proceedings of SPIE
Keywords
Field
DocType
Traumatic Brain Injury,Machine Learning,Statistical Analysis,Multi-Atlas Segmentation
Computer vision,Feature selection,Feature (computer vision),Image segmentation,Medical record,Artificial intelligence,Glasgow Coma Scale,Traumatic brain injury,Bayesian probability,Physics,Bayes' theorem
Conference
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
9784
0277-786X
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
1
6
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Shikha Chaganti154.51
Andrew J Plassard2356.95
Laura Wilson300.34
Miya A. Smith400.34
Mayur B. Patel512.44
Bennett A. Landman670074.20