Title
Can Tweets Predict TV Ratings?
Abstract
We set out to investigate whether TV ratings and mentions of TV programmes on the Twitter social media platform are correlated. If such a correlation exists, Twitter may be used as an alternative source for estimating viewer popularity. Moreover, the Twitter-based rating estimates may be generated during the programme, or even before. We count the occurrences of programme-specific hashtags in an archive of Dutch tweets of eleven popular TV shows broadcast in the Netherlands in one season, and perform correlation tests. Overall we find a strong correlation of 0:82; the correlation remains strong, 0:79, if tweets are counted a half hour before broadcast time. However, the two most popular TV shows account for most of the positive effect; if we leave out the single and second most popular TV shows, the correlation drops to being moderate to weak. Also, within a TV show, correlations between ratings and tweet counts are mostly weak, while correlations between TV ratings of the previous and next shows are strong. In absence of information on previous shows, Twitter-based counts may be a viable alternative to classic estimation methods for TV ratings. Estimates are more reliable with more popular TV shows.
Year
Venue
Keywords
2016
LREC 2016 - TENTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON LANGUAGE RESOURCES AND EVALUATION
Twitter,TV ratings
Field
DocType
Citations 
Computer science,Speech recognition,Artificial intelligence,Natural language processing
Conference
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
0
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Bridget Sommerdijk100.34
Eric Sanders213827.90
Antal Van Den Bosch31038132.37