Title
On the calculation of safety stocks when demand is forecasted.
Abstract
•Traditional procedures for estimating the lead time demand variance are flawed.•As a result, these procedures lead to safety stocks that are too low.•We present corrected procedures for constant lead times and a stationary i.i.d. demand model.•In doing so we consider the uncertainty associated with estimating both the mean and the variance of the demand.•We find that traditional procedures may lead to safety stocks that are up to 30 percent too low.
Year
DOI
Venue
2017
10.1016/j.ejor.2016.06.035
European Journal of Operational Research
Keywords
Field
DocType
Demand forecasting,Inventory control,Safety stock,Forecast uncertainty
Exponential smoothing,Safety stock,Demand forecasting,Reorder point,Inventory control,Lead time,Market demand schedule,Moving average,Operations management,Mathematics
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
256
2
0377-2217
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
6
0.46
8
Authors
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Dennis Prak171.18
Ruud H. Teunter269054.67
Aris A. Syntetos316614.78