Title
Uncertainty treatment in risk analysis of complex systems: The cases of STAMP and FRAM.
Abstract
Several approaches to systems thinking have been proposed to understand and model complex socio-technical systems and potential accidents, including the System-Theoretic Accident Model and Processes (STAMP) with the associated hazard analysis method System Theoretic Process Analysis (STPA), and the Functional Resonance Analysis Method (FRAM). It is argued that these approaches are suitable for the risk analysis of complex socio-technical systems. The purpose of this paper is to look more closely into this thesis, with a special focus on the treatment of uncertainty and potential surprises linked to the operation of such systems. A key finding is that these approaches may, indeed, reduce the potential for surprises by increasing the system and risk understanding but need to be supplemented with other approaches to adequately support the decision-making on risk issues.
Year
DOI
Venue
2016
10.1016/j.ress.2016.08.004
Reliability Engineering & System Safety
Keywords
Field
DocType
Complex systems,Uncertainty,Risk analysis,FRAM,STAMP
Complex system,Computer science,Risk analysis (business),Operations research,Hazard analysis,Process analysis,Systems thinking
Journal
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
156
0951-8320
9
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.69
7
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Torbjørn Bjerga1192.18
Terje Aven245859.16
Enrico Zio374257.86