Title
Probability assessments of identified parameters for stochastic structures using point estimation method.
Abstract
In this paper, a kind of inverse problem for assessing the probabilities of identified parameters with uncertainties in structural parameters and limited experimental results is investigated. The point estimation method and maximum entropy principle are adopted to efficiently evaluate the effect of uncertain parameters on the identified parameters. First, the probability distribution function of each uncertain parameter can be approximately represented by several nodes. Thus, the uncertain inverse problem can be transformed into several deterministic inverse problems through multivariate Taylor expansion and point estimation method. Then, to obtain the moments of identified parameters, the deterministic inverse process for each selected node with concentrated probability are conducted by the genetic algorithm. Finally, the probability distribution functions of the identified parameters can be assessed by the obtained moments based on the maximum entropy principle. The proposed method effectively avoids the low efficiency of uncertain inverse problem, which commonly involves a double-loop procedure with uncertainty propagation and inverse calculation. Numerical examples and the engineering application demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method.
Year
DOI
Venue
2016
10.1016/j.ress.2016.07.021
Reliability Engineering & System Safety
Keywords
Field
DocType
Uncertain inverse problem,Point estimation,Maximum entropy,Uncertainty propagation,Stochastic structure
Point estimation,Inverse,Propagation of uncertainty,Probability distribution,Inverse problem,Principle of maximum entropy,Statistics,Probability density function,Mathematics,Taylor series
Journal
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
156
0951-8320
1
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.41
6
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Jie Liu152.12
Yifeng Hu210.41
Can Xu342.14
C. Jiang45611.08
X. Han58018.97