Name
Title | ||
|---|---|---|
A simple, physically motivated model of sea-level contributions from the Greenland ice sheet in response to temperature changes. |
Abstract | ||
|---|---|---|
Sea level could rise by several meters over the next centuries. The Greenland ice sheet could be an important contributor to future sea-level rise, because of its large volume and its high sensitivity to surface air temperature increases. Frameworks for the integrated climate risk management often require fast, simplified treatments of sea-level rise, in particular for estimating the risks associated with low probabilities but potentially high impacts. State-of-the-art ice sheet models provide important insights, but are often computationally too demanding to evaluate tail-area risks. Here we present SIMPLE, a physically motivated model of the Greenland ice sheet in response to temperature changes. SIMPLE can skillfully reproduce the results from a three-dimensional ice sheet model and outperforms existing simple models, after similar calibration. We anticipate that SIMPLE will be calibrated to other ice sheet models and can provide a fast approximation (emulator) for such models in studies that require many model evaluations. SIMPLE is a fast physically motivated model of the Greenland ice sheet.It provides fast approximations in studies that require many model evaluations.It skillfully reproduces 3D ice sheet model simulations over a wide range of forcings.SIMPLE outperforms existing simplified representations, after similar calibration. |
Year | DOI | Venue |
|---|---|---|
2016 | 10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.05.003 | Environmental Modelling and Software |
Keywords | Field | DocType |
Greenland ice sheet,Semi-empirical model,Sea level change,Emulator,Scenario,Geo-engineering | Semi empirical model,Meteorology,Ice-sheet model,Computer science,Greenland ice sheet,Sea level,Ice sheet,Air temperature,Climatology | Journal |
Volume | Issue | ISSN |
83 | C | 1364-8152 |
Citations | PageRank | References |
0 | 0.34 | 3 |
Authors | ||
3 | ||
Name | Order | Citations | PageRank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander M. R. Bakker | 1 | 0 | 0.34 |
| Patrick J. Applegate | 2 | 0 | 0.34 |
| Klaus Keller | 3 | 30 | 4.37 |