Title
Structural Causal Models: Cycles, Marginalizations, Exogenous Reparametrizations and Reductions.
Abstract
Structural causal models (SCMs), also known as non-parametric structural equation models (NP-SEMs), are widely used for causal modeling purposes. In this paper, we give a rigorous treatment of structural causal models, dealing with measure-theoretic complications that arise in the presence of cyclic relations. The central question studied in this paper is: given a (possibly cyclic) SCM defined on a large system (consisting of observable endogenous and latent exogenous variables), can we project it down to an SCM that describes a subsystem (consisting of a subset of the observed endogenous variables and possibly different latent exogenous variables) in order to obtain a more parsimonious but equivalent representation of the subsystem? We define a marginalization operation that effectively removes a subset of the endogenous variables from the model, and a class of mappings, exogenous reparameterizations, that can be used to reduce the space of exogenous variables. We show that both operations preserve the causal semantics of the model and that under mild conditions they can lead to a significant reduction of the model complexity, at least in terms of the number of variables in the model. We argue that for the task of estimating an SCM from data, the existence of smooth reductions would be desirable. We provide several conditions under which the existence of such reductions can be shown, but also provide a counterexample that shows that such reductions do not exist in general. The latter result implies that existing approaches to estimate linear or Markovian SCMs from data cannot be extended to general SCMs.
Year
Venue
Field
2016
arXiv: Methodology
Econometrics,Observable,Markov process,Structural equation modeling,Causal semantics,Counterexample,Mathematics,Causal model,Model complexity
DocType
Volume
Citations 
Journal
abs/1611.06221
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
0
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Stephan Bongers132.49
Jonas Peters250531.25
Bernhard Schölkopf3231203091.82
Joris M. Mooij467950.48