Title
Framework for minimising the impact of regional shocks on global food security using multi-objective ant colony optimisation.
Abstract
A general framework for the identification of optimal strategies for mitigating the impact of regional shocks to the global food production network is introduced. The framework utilises multi-objective ant colony optimisation (ACO) as the optimisation engine and is applicable to production-, demand-, storage- and distribution-focussed mitigation options. A detailed formulation for using trade as the mitigation option is presented and applied to a shock to wheat production in North America for illustrative purposes. Different strategies for improving the performance of the ACO algorithm are also presented and tested. Results indicate that the proposed framework has the potential to identify a range of practical trade mitigation strategies for consideration by decision makers, including trade-offs between the extent to which regional shocks can be mitigated and the degree to which existing trade arrangements have to be modified, as well as the relative importance of various trade agreements and different exporting countries.
Year
DOI
Venue
2017
10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.06.004
Environmental Modelling & Software
Keywords
Field
DocType
Optimization,Global food security,Shock mitigation,Trade,Ant colony optimization,Search space size reduction
Food processing,Environmental resource management,Computer science,Ant colony,Environmental economics,Management science,Food security
Journal
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
95
1364-8152
3
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.40
9
7
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Peter Golding130.40
Sam Kapadia230.40
Stella Naylor330.40
Jonathan Schulz430.40
Holger R. Maier573872.97
Upmanu Lall673.24
Marijn Van der Velde71217.94