Title
Identification of Gaussian Process State Space Models.
Abstract
The Gaussian process state space model (GPSSM) is a non-linear dynamical system, where unknown transition and/or measurement mappings are described by GPs. Most research in GPSSMs has focussed on the state estimation problem, i.e., computing a posterior of the latent state given the model. However, the key challenge in GPSSMs has not been satisfactorily addressed yet: system identification, i.e., learning the model. To address this challenge, we impose a structured Gaussian variational posterior distribution over the latent states, which is parameterised by a recognition model in the form of a bi-directional recurrent neural network. Inference with this structure allows us to recover a posterior smoothed over sequences of data. We provide a practical algorithm for efficiently computing a lower bound on the marginal likelihood using the reparameterisation trick. This further allows for the use of arbitrary kernels within the GPSSM. We demonstrate that the learnt GPSSM can efficiently generate plausible future trajectories of the identified system after only observing a small number of episodes from the true system.
Year
Venue
Field
2017
neural information processing systems
Mathematical optimization,State-space representation,Marginal likelihood,Recurrent neural network,Posterior probability,Gaussian,Gaussian process,Artificial intelligence,System identification,State space,Mathematics,Machine learning
DocType
Citations 
PageRank 
Conference
3
0.38
References 
Authors
15
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Stefanos Eleftheriadis11255.42
Tom Nicholson230.38
Marc Peter Deisenroth3109564.71
James Hensman426520.05