Title
A Web Service QoS Forecasting Approach Based on Multivariate Time Series
Abstract
In order to accurately forecast Quality of Service (QoS) of different Web Services, this paper proposes a novel QoS forecasting approach called MulA-LMRBF (Multi-step fore-casting with Advertisement and Levenberg-Marquardt improved Radial Basis Function) based on multivariate time series. Considering the correlation among different QoS attributes, we use phase-space reconstruction to map historical multivariate QoS data into a dynamic system, use Average Dimension (AD) to estimate the embedding dimension and delay time of reconstructed phase space. We also add the short-term QoS advertisement data of service provider to form a more comprehensive data set. Then, RBF (Radial Basis Function) neural network improved by the Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) algorithm is used to update the weight of the neural network dynamically, which improves the forecasting accuracy and realizes the dynamic multiple-step forecasting. The experimental results demonstrate that MulA-LMRBF is better than previous approaches in term of precision and is more suitable for multi-step forecasting.
Year
DOI
Venue
2017
10.1109/ICWS.2017.27
2017 IEEE International Conference on Web Services (ICWS)
Keywords
Field
DocType
Quality of Service,Multivariate time series,Phase-space reconstruction,LM algorithm,RBF neural network,Dynamic multiple step forecasting
Data mining,Time series,Embedding,Radial basis function,Computer science,Multivariate statistics,Quality of service,Service provider,Artificial intelligence,Web service,Artificial neural network,Machine learning
Conference
ISBN
Citations 
PageRank 
978-1-5386-0753-4
3
0.39
References 
Authors
11
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Pengcheng Zhang1248.52
Liyan Wang2100.81
Wenrui Li3588.98
Hareton Leung498265.63
Wei Song5519.86