Title
RBTA: A Multivariate Time-Series Method for City Incidents Mining and Forecasting
Abstract
Mining and forecasting time-series incidents in large cities is very useful for the administration. However, most of the existing time-series prediction methods use univariate models which ignore the relationship among different city incidents. This paper proposes RBTA, a multivariate time-series model, to find the patterns including basic trend, seasonality, irregular components and relationship among different incidents. We evaluate our model on the real dataset from the downtown area of Shanghai, one the biggest metropolitan of the world. The average forecasting root mean squared error(RMSE) is 0.15, which decreases 4.9% comparing to the best one of the existing methods.
Year
DOI
Venue
2017
10.1109/CBD.2017.66
2017 Fifth International Conference on Advanced Cloud and Big Data (CBD)
Keywords
Field
DocType
Urban incident,Time-series,Forecast
Data mining,Multivariate statistics,Seasonality,Downtown,Mean squared error,Univariate,Statistics,Metropolitan area,Geography
Conference
ISSN
ISBN
Citations 
2573-301X
978-1-5386-1073-2
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
16
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Jieyi Wang100.34
Yongkun Wang2204.78
Yaohui Jin314329.65