Title
Short-term time series prediction using Hilbert space embeddings of autoregressive processes.
Abstract
Linear autoregressive models serve as basic representations of discrete time stochastic processes. Different attempts have been made to provide non-linear versions of the basic autoregressive process, including different versions based on kernel methods. Motivated by the powerful framework of Hilbert space embeddings of distributions, in this paper we apply this methodology for the kernel embedding of an autoregressive process of order p. By doing so, we provide a non-linear version of an autoregressive process, that shows increased performance over the linear model in highly complex time series. We use the method proposed for one-step ahead forecasting of different time-series, and compare its performance against other non-linear methods.
Year
DOI
Venue
2017
10.1016/j.neucom.2017.05.067
Neurocomputing
Keywords
Field
DocType
Autoregressive process,Hilbert space embeddings,cross-covariance operator,time series forecasting
Autoregressive model,Mathematical optimization,Nonlinear autoregressive exogenous model,Discrete-time stochastic process,Linear model,Autoregressive integrated moving average,Discrete time and continuous time,STAR model,Kernel method,Mathematics
Journal
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
266
0925-2312
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
9
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Edgar A. Valencia110.77
Mauricio A. Álvarez201.69