Title
An Efficient Time Series Forecasting Method Exploiting Fuzziness and Turbulences in Data
Abstract
AbstractIn recent years, there has been a growing interest in Time Series forecasting. A number of time series forecasting methods have been proposed by various researchers. However, a common trend found in these methods is that they all underperform on a data set that exhibit uneven ups and downs turbulences. In this paper, a new method based on fuzzy time-series henceforth FTS to forecast on the fundament of turbulences in the data set is proposed. The results show that the turbulence based fuzzy time series forecasting is effective, especially, when the available data indicate a high degree of instability. A few benchmark FTS methods are identified from the literature, their limitations and gaps are discussed and it is observed that the proposed method successfully overcome their deficiencies to produce better results. In order to validate the proposed model, a performance comparison with various conventional time series models is also presented.
Year
DOI
Venue
2017
10.4018/IJFSA.2017100106
Periodicals
DocType
Volume
Issue
Journal
6
4
ISSN
Citations 
PageRank 
2156-177X
0
0.34
References 
Authors
0
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Prateek Pandey121.05
Shishir Kumar27817.06
Sandeep Shrivastava300.34