Title
Warriors or bulls: introducing retroactive gambling line simulation
Abstract
Gambling lines provide a rich source of data for Monte Carlo simulations of sports seasons. Since data for complete seasons are available after the seasons are completed, we refer to such simulations as retroactive gambling line simulations. We use the motivating and expository example of comparing the performances of the 2015-16 Golden State Warriors (who won a record 73 games) and the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls (who held the previous record of 72 wins) and provide a detailed treatment of this application. The more general applicability of the approach is examined by describing the flexibility in building the models and relating this flexibility to a few specific examples. We hope this paper will seed further explorations of retroactive gambling line simulation (and settle the Warriors vs. Bulls comparison along the way).
Year
DOI
Venue
2017
10.5555/3242181.3242245
WSC '17: Winter Simulation Conference Las Vegas Nevada December, 2017
Keywords
Field
DocType
1995-96 Chicago Bulls,2015-16 Golden State Warriors,sports seasons,Monte Carlo simulations,retroactive gambling line simulation
Monte Carlo method,Systems engineering,Computer science,Operations research
Conference
ISSN
ISBN
Citations 
0891-7736
978-1-5386-3427-1
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
0
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
R. Alan Bowman1213.51
Thomas Ashman200.34
James Lambrinos300.34