Title
Enriching Course-Specific Regression Models with Content Features for Grade Prediction
Abstract
An enduring issue in higher education is student retention and timely graduation. Early-warning and degree planning systems have been identified as a key approach to tackle this problem. Accurately predicting a student's performance can help recommend degree pathways for students and identify students at-risk of dropping from their program of study. Various approaches have been developed for predicting students' next-term grades. Recently, course-specific approaches based on linear regression and matrix factorization have been proposed. To predict a student's grade, course-specific approaches utilize the student's grades from courses taken prior to that course. However, there are a lot of factors other than student's historical grades that influence his/her performance, such as the difficulty of the courses, the quality and pedagogy of the instructor, the academic level of the students when taking the courses and so on. In this paper, we propose a course-specific regression model enriched with features about students, courses and instructors. Our proposed models were evaluated on datasets from two large public universities for academic programs with varying flexibility. The experimental results showed that incorporating content features can boost the performance of the course-specific model. For some degree programs with high flexibility, our experiments showed that predicting the grades with informative content features demonstrated better prediction accuracy.
Year
DOI
Venue
2017
10.1109/DSAA.2017.74
2017 IEEE International Conference on Data Science and Advanced Analytics (DSAA)
Keywords
Field
DocType
linear regression,matrix factorization,course-specific regression model,degree programs,informative content features,grade prediction,student retention,degree planning systems,degree pathways,course-specific regression models,students next-term grades prediction,higher education
Business system planning,Regression analysis,Computer science,Matrix decomposition,Feature extraction,Artificial intelligence,Hidden Markov model,Higher education,Machine learning,Linear regression
Conference
ISSN
ISBN
Citations 
2472-1573
978-1-5090-5005-5
3
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.43
17
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Qian Hu1545.44
Agoritsa Polyzou2343.85
George Karypis3156911171.82
Huzefa Rangwala443557.50