Title
Predicting the Price of Bitcoin Using Machine Learning
Abstract
The goal of this paper is to ascertain with what accuracy the direction of Bitcoin price in USD can be predicted. The price data is sourced from the Bitcoin Price Index. The task is achieved with varying degrees of success through the implementation of a Bayesian optimised recurrent neural network (RNN) and a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) network. The LSTM achieves the highest classification accuracy of 52% and a RMSE of 8%. The popular ARIMA model for time series forecasting is implemented as a comparison to the deep learning models. As expected, the non-linear deep learning methods outperform the ARIMA forecast which performs poorly. Finally, both deep learning models are benchmarked on both a GPU and a CPU with the training time on the GPU outperforming the CPU implementation by 67.7%.
Year
DOI
Venue
2018
10.1109/PDP2018.2018.00060
2018 26th Euromicro International Conference on Parallel, Distributed and Network-based Processing (PDP)
Keywords
Field
DocType
Bitcoin,Deep Learning,GPU,Recurrent Neural Network,Long Short Term Memory,ARIMA
Data mining,Time series,Central processing unit,Computer science,Recurrent neural network,Mean squared error,Price index,Autoregressive integrated moving average,Artificial intelligence,Deep learning,Machine learning,Bayesian probability
Conference
ISSN
ISBN
Citations 
1066-6192
978-1-5386-4976-3
14
PageRank 
References 
Authors
1.09
13
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Sean McNally1141.09
Jason Roche2141.09
Simon Caton315916.20